Will rupee continue its bull trend?

Rupee Stability   India’s current account deficit (CAD), foreign fund inflows into the country and the amount of forex reserves it holds are among several factors that influence rupee stability. CAD or trade deficit occurs when a nation’s payments to other countries exceed the amount it receives. The Indian economy is heavily dependent on imports,…

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Liquidity is likely to improve considerably

Debt Market View _ May 2014   May was eventful, with Modi-led BJP swamping the general elections and forming the central government by gaining majority and thus, boosting market sentiments.   WPI for Apr-14 stood at 5.20% compared with 5.70% in Mar-14.   RBI at its bi-monthly policy on June 03, 2014 announced the following:…

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Gold may lose its shine a little more

Fundamentals News on Indian Gold   Gold prices plummeted by up to Rs 800 in single day on May21, 2014, the biggest fall in a day this year, to a 10-month low in major bullion markets of the country after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) eased import restrictions on the precious metal.   Traders attributed the…

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Exchange Traded Funds (ETF)

Buying gold on the stock exchange?? Is it possible?? It’s a commodity, so we could purchase it only from a commodity market. Well, but buying gold on the stock exchange is now possible with the eminent introduction of Exchange Traded Funds that will invest in Gold only. Accumulation of gold for a marriage in the…

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Resounding victory raises high hopes on reforms

The Lok Sabha election results astounded the whole world, as the sweeping majority attained by BJP has scuttled the opposition benches to historically low figures. This raises hopes of the possible changes, which could signal a high growth path for the next few years. In this backdrop, one seriously needs to analyse the reforms undertaken…

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Life after Death

In India, a spiritual Guru talking about preparation for death is understandable where hundreds of discourses are on Sanyas, Moksha, Detachment, etc. However, a person in family bliss has many social and financial responsibilities. So, it is least expected of him to talk about preparation for death. If we look at this issue of death,…

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Rupee gaining back its strength

The Indian rupee rose for a second consecutive session on Wednesday, boosted by large dollar sales by exporters, but gains were capped by caution ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week and as shares fell to 2-1/2 week lows.   The currency fell 0.7 percent in April after having hit an eight-month…

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Strong demand for the money market and 2Y bonds pulled the yields down

April started with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announcing its policy on April 01, 2014, where the RBI decided to do the following:   Keep the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 8.0% Increase the liquidity provided under 7-day and 14-day term repos from 0.5 per cent of net…

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What is a Stock Market?

“Stock Market”, the word calls to mind a cloth or a vegetable market, a place where buyers and sellers meet in person and decide to exchange goods or commodities physically. There are also markets for services, typically a chowk or maidan, where various vendors of services, such as plumbers or carpenters, assemble, and those who…

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Investor Education: Step by Step Guide to Naive Investors

Lots of investors wish to participate in equity markets but do not know where to start from. Some have partial knowledge about the markets and there are others who are completely ignorant. There are others who take great pride in saying I do not invest in stock market. As I have written in the first…

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Call writing to hedge your Portfolio Stocks

We are well aware that general elections results are due next month, which is expected to result in wide fluctuation of the Index. Therefore, in this backdrop, we are recommending you to hedge your portfolio stocks through call writing. Call writing is the best strategy to hedge the portfolio stocks as the volatility is very…

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What’s your Investment Strategy?

How open are we to take risks? A simple experiment would suffice to yield revealing answers. If we were to ask same-sex twins the same question — “If they had to decide between a sure win of Rs 30, a 20 per cent chance of winning Rs 500 or a 50% chance of winning Rs…

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Caution advised as we approach D-Day

The beginning of the new financial year promises a roller coaster ride for the market. Besides the approaching general elections, the results season also kicks off with Infy all set to announce results today and as usual, the results are likely to beat expectations. Going forward, the big question is ‘how do we approach the…

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INR continues its winning streak against USD

The Indian rupee (INR) posted its biggest quarterly gain since the September quarter of 2012, as heavy foreign buying of equities and debt boosted the local unit. The upward momentum of INR now means that the currency is on track to register its best quarterly performance since 2012. Further, this shows that INR has successfully…

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Debt Market View April 14

The combined CPI inflation for Feb-14 came at 8.10% (8.79% for Jan-14) largely driven by a sharp drop in vegetable prices. WPI based inflation for Feb-14 eased to 4.68% compared with 5.05% in the previous month.   Government borrowing for 2014-2015: Borrowing Type Amount (in Rs. Crores) G-Sec Gross Borrowings 597000 G-Sec Net Borrowings 457000…

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Equity Market Overview APR ’14

Royal election battle ahead – market betting big, caution advised   April began on a positive note with March once again catching the bears on the wrong foot and frantic short covering was seen. The consistent buying by the FIIs resulted in the Nifty touching an all-time high and while writing this article it is…

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Election Special Market Strategy

F&O Strategy to hedge your portfolio and trades Election fever has gripped the nation, as we have entered April, the most crucial month in recent times, touching new highs.   From here on, the election process will commence, which would increase market volatility in India. Historically, one has seen that increase in volatility has led…

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Gold- Thumbs Down

Fundamental on gold Gold prices lost steam in the previous month after the FOMC announced a third $10 billion slash in quantitative easing, bringing down its monthly bond purchases to $55 billion. Gold prices had a knee-jerk reaction after Fed Chair, Janet Yellen said the Fed would probably end its bullion friendly bond-buying programme this…

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Equity Markets and types of Risk

We are often told that equity investments are subject to risk. What is this risk? It means earning less than what you expected from a given investment or losing part of what you invested. When it comes to investments we only talk about returns. We do say higher the risk higher will be the return.…

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Will the RBI give a boost to the economy?

RBI maintains status quo on key interest rates in today’s policy review. As discussed earlier events trigger momentum and another such event has taken place today outcome of this was on expected lines. The RBI has not increased key interest rates. Market consensus was inclined towards neutral to positive direction of interest rates in terms…

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And history repeats itself…

In early march, we had highlighted historical behavior of the stock market. We had also highlighted how important it is to track reaction of markets to the events occurring at periodic intervals. Events trigger the momentum in equity markets. Moreover, one such major event that India is tracking currently is ‘election 2014’. We had briefed…

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And history repeats itself…

In early march, we had highlighted historical behavior of the stock market. We had also highlighted how important it is to track reaction of markets to the events occurring at periodic intervals. Events trigger the momentum in equity markets. Moreover, one such major event that India is tracking currently is ‘election 2014’. We had briefed…

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Investing is all about Common Sense

Share markets are either the most favored or the most hated entity, depending on their status. A rising market is characterized by the build up of a herd mentality. If the index goes up continuously for 15 days, there is a sudden spurt in interest in buying. If the market falls drastically, calls from brokers…

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Why do we need Financial Planning?

“Subse Bada Rupaiah”… The saying could not be truer when it comes to the management of Personal finances. There is no getting away from having to manage it properly, irrespective of what one does professionally.  Income inflows during our working life of about 35 years has its ups and downs and  needs to be properly…

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Oil Forever

Investopedia defines Crude Oil as naturally occurring unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits, in shades of black and yellow with a ranging viscosity, many times referred to as “Black Gold”. I will sincerely admit that out of the long boring definition, the words that caught my eye were “Black Gold”. Gold! Really?   Let…

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Who says, MFs are not performing!

You might have heard the old adage that one cannot compare apples with oranges. However, one can compare apples with apples. The same principle applies everywhere even while we invest. Some of the investment products such as Equity Mutual Fund collect money from investors and invest in basket of selected stocks.   This stock selection…

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Currency: Where are we heading?

The INR had seen a wide range of low of 44 against the USD in July 2011 and a high 68 against the USD in August 2013. Currently, it has cooled off a bit and is quoted at Rs. 60. What could have caused such a huge move? A widening fiscal deficit and balance of…

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CPI inflation path is critical – Debt Market Review

RBI on Feb 5, 2014 announced that it has successfully conducted the gilt-switch worth Rs. 27,000 Cr for securities with maturities of 2014-15 and 2015-16. The switching of GOI securities eased the redemption pressure lined up for 2014-15 and 2015-16. The government tabled its interim budget for 2014-15. As per the revised estimates, the fiscal…

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Will history repeat itself?

Events trigger the momentum in equity markets. Any big event such as budget or RBI policy could make or break the stock market. You may gain or lose on your investments post such events. One such upcoming event is the Elections 2014. Equity markets work on expectations and it could turn out to be positive…

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High volatility expected amidst geo political tension

Market Outlook for March, 2014 The month of February which begun on a negative note with short rollovers was a classic bear trap month when we saw buying in the cash and index futures by the FII’s in the 2nd half of Feb resulting in hectic short covering by bears towards close of expiry pushing up…

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Everyone is using F&O, why don’t you?

‘The fear of the unknown has always triggered excitement in many a men’ – Anonymous.   What is it that excites men the most? What gives them the rush? A long drive at full speed, adrenalin filled sports, an all-in gamble? The list is endless. Whenever the outcome is unknown, it excites men. To be…

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Gold – Can’t stay away from it for long

Many contend that gold has lost its shine. After making life-time highs of sub $1900 per oz., it is now trading almost 30% lower at nearly $1330 per oz. A question then that often crops up in the financial world is whether we still need to invest in gold. If so, how and where do…

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Interim Budget 2014-15

The Finance minister in interim Budget of 2014-15, the last of UPA-II government managed to contain the twin deficit and provided more optimistic growth and deficit target for the next financial year. The FM has taken some initiatives in Indirect tax rate by tweaking excise duty in favour of some sectors like Automobile, FMCG and…

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Are you a first time equity investor?

Equity market (commonly known as share market) is a place of “possibilities”. However, like in cricket, the game of glorious uncertainties and possibilities, you can still have a decent innings by following these important points and knowing the rules of the game.   Understand your purpose of investment Get a clear vision of your investment…

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Five reasons why you need to start saving from today!

Money may not buy you everything, but surely, with enough money in your hands, you could control your life better. You need money mainly to accomplish and maintain your present basic lifestyle and more importantly, in future. Further, you would need money to achieve what you wish to have beyond your basic requirements during your…

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It’s all about FMPs

Attractive yields and conducive interest rate scenario make FMPs a hot pick for investors. FMPs are targeting to fill up the vacant investment space created by the rise in interest rates.   What are FMPs? Fixed Maturity Plans (FMPs) are close ended debt funds, which invest in securities that have maturity profiles in line with…

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Volatile times ahead – ride it and do not get swayed!!!

Market outlook for February 2014: January saw some cautious trading, particularly from the FII’s, who decided to hedge some of their positions by selling into index futures as well as some selling in cash, which was more pronounced towards the end-Jan. Tech results were greeted with a muted response and some profit-taking was visible at higher levels.…

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Debt Market Update Jan ‘14

In January, the Urjit Patel panel (set up by RBI) recommended using CPI inflation as the new nominal anchor, as it is the closest reflection of cost of living and inflation expectations. The panel suggested adopting a longer-term target of 4% for CPI inflation with a band of +/- 2%. The committee’s main objective was…

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Risk profile based funds

Types of general risk profile-based funds Aggressive funds- These funds invest a major part of their money in high risk – high returns asset classes such as Equities. These funds carry high risk as there is no gurantee on capital you have invested but at the same time those may generate high returns than traditional investments depending on…

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War creates Winner – MF perspective

War creates Winner. Make sure that you invest in Warriors. Mutual Funds are fighting like warriors in these challenging times and are likely to emerge winners in the long run. Currently, it is a war between the equity and debt markets, as these markets are poised to breakout in the medium-to-long term. May be both would…

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How to build your mutual fund portfolio

To build your mutual fund (MF) portfolio, you need to follow these simple steps. However, we always advise you to take help of websites such as ours for performing complete financial planning and building your portfolio.     1)  Identifying financial goals: The process of building your MF portfolio starts with identifying your financial goals, which includes…

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Time for Financial Planning

We all know about financial planning, but in reality, most of us do not pay sufficient attention to it. Usually, people get to know about the need for financial planning a little late in their lives. However, encouragingly, in the world of financial planning, it is never too late. Even if you have not planned…

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MF dividend decoded

Most investors are aware of the three options available in mutual funds (MF), which are dividend payout, re-Investment, and growth. The use of these options varies with each investor. However, investors are not aware of dividend functionality, calculation, and tax implications. Let us attempt to understand these in details. (A) Dividend payout: In this option, profits…

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